https:\/\/edition.cnn.com\/2022\/12\/22\/economy\/us-economy\/index.html<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n <\/p>\n
\u82f1\u8a9e\u5b66\u7fd2\u7d20\u6750\u3068\u3057\u3066\u91cd\u8981(\u81ea\u5206\u306e\u82f1\u8a9e\u306b\u53d6\u308a\u8fbc\u307f\u305f\u3044\u8868\u73fe)\u306a\u7b87\u6240\u3092\u592a\u5b57\u306b\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n <\/p>\n
\u30bf\u30a4\u30c8\u30eb\uff1aWhy America\u2019s economy remains surprisingly strong \u2013 but you don\u2019t realize it<\/span><\/h1>\n\u30a2\u30e1\u30ea\u30ab\u7d4c\u6e08\u304c\u9a5a\u304f\u307b\u3069\u597d\u8abf\u306a\u7406\u7531 – \u3057\u304b\u3057\u3001\u3042\u306a\u305f\u306f\u305d\u308c\u306b\u6c17\u3065\u3044\u3066\u3044\u306a\u3044<\/span><\/p>\n <\/p>\n
Each week brings <\/span>head-scratching<\/b> contradictory<\/b> news about the economy. <\/span>This past week was no different, <\/b>with <\/span>a batch of<\/b> economic reports showing that \u2014 <\/span>despite the recession talk<\/b> \u2014 the US economy shows <\/span>remarkable resilience.<\/b><\/p>\n\u6bce\u9031\u3001\u7d4c\u6e08\u306b\u95a2\u3059\u308b<\/span>\u77db\u76fe\u3057\u305f\u30cb\u30e5\u30fc\u30b9<\/b>\u304c\u98db\u3073\u8fbc\u3093\u3067\u304f\u308b\u3002<\/span>\u5148\u9031\u3082\u540c\u69d8\u3067<\/b>\u3001<\/span>\u666f\u6c17\u5f8c\u9000\u304c\u53eb\u3070\u308c\u3066\u3044\u308b\u306b\u3082\u304b\u304b\u308f\u3089\u305a<\/b>\u3001\u7c73\u56fd\u7d4c\u6e08\u306f<\/span>\u9a5a\u304f\u3079\u304d\u56de\u5fa9\u529b<\/b>\u3092\u793a\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3053\u3068\u304c\u3001<\/span>\u4e00\u9023\u306e<\/b>\u7d4c\u6e08\u5831\u544a\u3067\u660e\u3089\u304b\u306b\u306a\u3063\u305f\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n <\/p>\n
Yes, the economy is strong. But it comes <\/span>with a lot of caveats.<\/b><\/p>\n\u305d\u3046\u3001\u666f\u6c17\u306f\u3044\u3044\u306e\u3060\u3002\u3057\u304b\u3057\u3001\u305d\u308c\u306b\u306f<\/span>\u591a\u304f\u306e\u6ce8\u610f\u70b9<\/b>\u304c\u3042\u308b\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n <\/p>\n
Let\u2019s review:<\/span><\/p>\n\u304a\u3055\u3089\u3044\u3057\u3066\u304a\u3053\u3046\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n <\/p>\n
Gross domestic product<\/b> grew at a 3.2% annualized rate last quarter, <\/span>a sharp bounce back <\/b>from shrinking in the first half of the year.<\/span><\/p>\nConsumer confidence<\/b> unexpectedly grew in December.<\/span><\/p>\nLast month\u2019s jobs report <\/span>defied<\/b> analysts\u2019 expectations, with unemployment remaining at almost a half-century low.<\/span><\/p>\nAnd multiple recent inflation reports show <\/span>prices are starting to cool off.<\/b><\/p>\nHowever, these are just ingredients in <\/span>a murky soup<\/b> of conflicting \u201cyes, but\u201d headlines.<\/span><\/p>\n\u56fd\u5185\u7dcf\u751f\u7523<\/b>\u306f\u524d\u671f\u306b\u5e74\u73873.2\uff05\u306e\u4f38\u3073\u3092\u793a\u3057\u3001\u4eca\u5e74\u524d\u534a\u306e\u7e2e\u5c0f\u304b\u3089<\/span>\u6025\u56de\u5fa9<\/b>\u3057\u305f\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n12\u6708\u306e<\/span>\u6d88\u8cbb\u8005\u4fe1\u983c\u611f\u6307\u6570<\/b>\u306f\u4e88\u60f3\u5916\u306e\u4f38\u3073\u3092\u793a\u3057\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n\u5148\u6708\u306e\u96c7\u7528\u7d71\u8a08\u306f\u30a2\u30ca\u30ea\u30b9\u30c8\u306e\u4e88\u60f3\u3092<\/span>\u88cf\u5207\u308a<\/b>\u3001\u5931\u696d\u7387\u306f\u307b\u307c\u534a\u4e16\u7d00\u3076\u308a\u306e\u4f4e\u6c34\u6e96\u306b\u3068\u3069\u307e\u308a\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n\u307e\u305f\u3001\u6700\u8fd1\u306e\u8907\u6570\u306e\u30a4\u30f3\u30d5\u30ec\u5831\u544a\u66f8\u306f\u3001<\/span>\u7269\u4fa1\u304c\u51b7\u3048\u8fbc\u307f\u59cb\u3081\u3066\u3044\u308b<\/b>\u3053\u3068\u3092\u793a\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n\u3057\u304b\u3057\u3001\u3053\u308c\u3089\u306f\u300c\u30a4\u30a8\u30b9\u3001\u3057\u304b\u3057\u300d\u3068\u3044\u3046\u76f8\u53cd\u3059\u308b\u898b\u51fa\u3057\u304c\u4e26\u3076<\/span>\u6fc1\u3063\u305f\u30b9\u30fc\u30d7<\/b>\u306e\u6750\u6599\u306b\u904e\u304e\u306a\u3044\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n\uff08\u89e3\u8aac\uff09a murky soup\u306f\u30cd\u30ac\u30c6\u30a3\u30d6\u306a\u6bd4\u55a9\u8868\u73fe\u3068\u3057\u3066\u4f7f\u308f\u308c\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u304c\u3001\u9762\u767d\u3044\u3067\u3059\u306d\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n <\/p>\n
Yes, consumers say they <\/span>feel lousy about <\/b>the economy. But a record 196 million Americans went shopping over the Thanksgiving weekend \u2014 and those <\/span>roaring<\/b> sales numbers weren\u2019t just because inflation has pushed prices higher, but also because people were making more transactions, according to Adobe Analytics.<\/span><\/p>\n\u78ba\u304b\u306b\u3001\u6d88\u8cbb\u8005\u306f\u666f\u6c17\u306f<\/span>\u60aa\u3044<\/b>\u3068\u8a00\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\u3057\u304b\u3057\u3001\u611f\u8b1d\u796d\u306e\u9031\u672b\u306b\u8cb7\u3044\u7269\u306b\u51fa\u304b\u3051\u305f\u30a2\u30e1\u30ea\u30ab\u4eba\u306f\u904e\u53bb\u6700\u9ad8\u306e1\u51049600\u4e07\u4eba\u3060\u3063\u305f\u3002Adobe Analytics\u306b\u3088\u308c\u3070\u3001\u3053\u3046\u3057\u305f<\/span>\u8f5f\u97f3<\/b>\u306e\u58f2\u4e0a\u306f\u3001\u30a4\u30f3\u30d5\u30ec\u306b\u3088\u3063\u3066\u4fa1\u683c\u304c\u4e0a\u6607\u3057\u305f\u3060\u3051\u3067\u306a\u304f\u3001\u4eba\u3005\u304c\u3088\u308a\u591a\u304f\u306e\u53d6\u5f15\u3092\u884c\u3063\u305f\u305f\u3081\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3068\u306e\u3053\u3068\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n <\/p>\n
Curtis Dubay, chief economist at the US Chamber of Commerce calls this \u201c<\/span>second-hand pessimism<\/b>\u201d and says the economy might not be doing as poorly as you think.<\/span><\/p>\n\u7c73\u56fd\u5546\u5de5\u4f1a\u8b70\u6240\u306e\u30c1\u30fc\u30d5\u30a8\u30b3\u30ce\u30df\u30b9\u30c8\u3067\u3042\u308bCurtis Dubay\u6c0f\u306f\u3001\u3053\u308c\u3092\u300c<\/span>\u4e2d\u53e4\u306e\u60b2\u89b3\u8ad6<\/b>\u300d\u3068\u547c\u3073\u3001\u666f\u6c17\u306f\u7686\u3055\u3093\u304c\u601d\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u307b\u3069\u60aa\u304f\u306a\u3044\u304b\u3082\u3057\u308c\u306a\u3044\u3068\u8ff0\u3079\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n <\/p>\n
Yes, inflation at near 40-year highs is <\/span>biting into<\/b> family budgets. But Americans are booking air travel and heading to Disney parks <\/span>in near-record numbers, <\/b>even with higher park prices.<\/span><\/p>\n\u78ba\u304b\u306b\u300140\u5e74\u6765\u306e\u9ad8\u6c34\u6e96\u306b\u3042\u308b\u30a4\u30f3\u30d5\u30ec\u306f\u5bb6\u8a08<\/span>\u3092\u5727\u8feb\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b<\/b>\u3002\u3057\u304b\u3057\u3001\u30a2\u30e1\u30ea\u30ab\u4eba\u306f\u822a\u7a7a\u5238\u3092\u4e88\u7d04\u3057\u3001\u30d1\u30fc\u30af\u6599\u91d1\u304c\u4e0a\u304c\u3063\u3066\u3082\u3001<\/span>\u307b\u307c\u8a18\u9332\u7684\u306a\u6570\u306e<\/b>\u30c7\u30a3\u30ba\u30cb\u30fc\u30fb\u30d1\u30fc\u30af\u306b\u5411\u304b\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u306e\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n <\/p>\n
Yes, economists are worried about a recession, but the job market is incredibly tight with more than 10 million <\/span>open jobs<\/b> and 1.7 jobs available for anyone who\u2019s searching for one (or looking to <\/span>job hop<\/b>).<\/span><\/p>\n\u7d4c\u6e08\u5b66\u8005\u306f\u666f\u6c17\u5f8c\u9000\u3092\u61f8\u5ff5\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u304c\u3001\u96c7\u7528\u5e02\u5834\u306f1000\u4e07\u4ef6\u4ee5\u4e0a\u306e<\/span>\u6c42\u4eba<\/b>\u304c\u3042\u308a\u3001\u63a2\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u4eba\uff08\u307e\u305f\u306f<\/span>\u8ee2\u8077<\/b>\u3092\u8003\u3048\u3066\u3044\u308b\u4eba\uff09\u306b\u306f1.7\u4ef6\u306e\u6c42\u4eba\u304c\u3042\u308b\u306a\u3069\u3001\u4fe1\u3058\u3089\u308c\u306a\u3044\u307b\u3069\u53b3\u3057\u3044\u72b6\u6cc1\u306a\u306e\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n <\/p>\n
\u201cThe labor market is incredibly strong again,\u201d Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell in a speech last month. \u201cIt\u2019s too great, in a way, because it\u2019s going to be adding to inflation.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\nSo what\u2019s next?<\/span><\/p>\n“\u52b4\u50cd\u5e02\u5834\u306f\u518d\u3073\u4fe1\u3058\u3089\u308c\u306a\u3044\u307b\u3069\u5f37\u304f\u306a\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b “\u3068\u3001\u30b8\u30a7\u30ed\u30fc\u30e0\u30fb\u30d1\u30a6\u30a8\u30eb\u9023\u90a6\u6e96\u5099\u5236\u5ea6\u7406\u4e8b\u4f1a\u8b70\u9577\u306f\u5148\u6708\u306e\u8b1b\u6f14\u3067\u8ff0\u3079\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002”\u3042\u308b\u610f\u5473\u51c4\u3059\u304e\u308b\u3001\u30a4\u30f3\u30d5\u30ec\u306b\u62cd\u8eca\u3092\u304b\u3051\u308b\u3053\u3068\u306b\u306a\u308b\u306e\u3060\u304b\u3089”<\/span><\/p>\n\u3067\u306f\u3001\u6b21\u306f\u3069\u3046\u3059\u308b\u306e\u304b\uff1f<\/span><\/p>\n <\/p>\n
The truth is that no one knows what happens next. Forecasts have been <\/span>notoriously unreliable<\/b> in the post-Covid economy. (Remember \u201ctransitory\u201d inflation?\u201d)<\/span><\/p>\nThe Fed<\/b> has been trying to contain the highest inflation since the 1980s, <\/span>jacking up interest rates<\/b> six times this year and even <\/span>rolling out<\/b> a bumper three-quarter-point hike not once but four times in a row.<\/span><\/p>\n\u5b9f\u306f\u3001\u6b21\u306b\u4f55\u304c\u8d77\u3053\u308b\u304b\u306f\u8ab0\u306b\u3082\u308f\u304b\u3089\u306a\u3044\u306e\u3067\u3059\u3002\u30b3\u30d3\u30c8\u4ee5\u964d\u306e\u7d4c\u6e08\u3067\u306f\u3001\u4e88\u6e2c\u306f<\/span>\u3042\u307e\u308a\u5f53\u3066\u306b\u306a\u3089\u306a\u3044\u3002<\/b>(\u300c\u4e00\u904e\u6027\u306e\u300d\u30a4\u30f3\u30d5\u30ec\u3092\u899a\u3048\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3060\u308d\u3046\u304b?)<\/span><\/p>\nFRB<\/b>\u306f1980\u5e74\u4ee3\u4ee5\u6765\u306e\u9ad8\u30a4\u30f3\u30d5\u30ec\u3092\u6291\u3048\u3088\u3046\u3068\u3001\u4eca\u5e746\u56de\u3082<\/span>\u91d1\u5229\u3092\u4e0a\u3052<\/b>\u3001\u3057\u304b\u30824\u5206\u306e3\u30dd\u30a4\u30f3\u30c8\u306e<\/span>\u5927\u5e45\u306a<\/b>\u5f15\u304d\u4e0a\u3052\u30921\u5ea6\u3060\u3051\u3067\u306a\u304f4\u56de\u9023\u7d9a\u3067<\/span>\u5b9f\u65bd\u3057\u305f\u3002<\/b><\/p>\n <\/p>\n
That means the next year will <\/span>no question<\/b> be a challenge as all that tightening continues to <\/span>work its way through<\/b> the economy.<\/span><\/p>\n\u3064\u307e\u308a\u3001\u5f15\u304d\u7de0\u3081\u304c\u7d4c\u6e08<\/span>\u306b\u6d78\u900f\u3057\u3066\u3044\u304f<\/b>\u4e2d\u3067\u3001\u6765\u5e74\u306f<\/span>\u9593\u9055\u3044\u306a\u304f<\/b>\u56f0\u96e3\u306a\u5e74\u306b\u306a\u308b\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n <\/p>\n
\u301c\u307e\u3068\u3081\u301c<\/span><\/h2>\n\u30b3\u30ed\u30ca\u798d\u306e\u91d1\u878d\u7de9\u548c\u306e\u5f71\u97ff\u3092\u3001\u5c11\u3057\u305a\u3064\u898f\u5236\u3057\u306a\u304c\u3089\u30a4\u30f3\u30d5\u30ec\u3092\u6291\u5236\u3057\u3088\u3046\u3068\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308bFRB\u306e\u8a66\u307f\u3067\u3057\u305f\u30022023\u5e74\u306f\u30a2\u30e1\u30ea\u30ab\u7d4c\u6e08\u306b\u3068\u3063\u3066\u53b3\u3057\u3044\u5e74\u306b\u306a\u308a\u305d\u3046\u3067\u3059\u304c\u3001\u7d4c\u6e08\u305d\u306e\u3082\u306e\u304c\u5f31\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u308f\u3051\u3067\u306f\u306a\u3055\u305d\u3046\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n\u30a2\u30e1\u30ea\u30ab\u306e\u7d4c\u6e08\u56de\u5fa9\u304c\u65e5\u672c\u306b\u3082\u826f\u3044\u5f71\u97ff\u3092\u3082\u305f\u3089\u3057\u3066\u304f\u308c\u308b\u3068\u826f\u3044\u3067\u3059\u306d\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n\u6700\u5f8c\u307e\u3067\u304a\u8aad\u307f\u3044\u305f\u3060\u304d\u3042\u308a\u304c\u3068\u3046\u3054\u3056\u3044\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n <\/p>\n
<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
\u307f\u306a\u3055\u3093\u3001\u3053\u3093\u306b\u3061\u306f \u301c\u306f\u3058\u3081\u306b\u301c \u82f1\u8a9e\u5b66\u7fd2\u4e2d\u7d1a\u8005\u306e\u7686\u3055\u3093\u306b\u304a\u52e7\u3081\u3057\u305f\u3044\u52c9\u5f37\u6cd5\u306f\u3001\u751f\u306e\u82f1\u8a9e\u306b\u89e6\u308c\u308b\u3001\u82f1\u8a9e\u8a18\u4e8b\u3092\u8aad\u3080\u3053\u3068\u3002 \u82f1\u8a9e\u8a18\u4e8b\u3092\u8aad\u3080\u3053\u3068\u306f\u3001\u82f1\u8a9e\u306e\u8868\u73fe\u3092\u5b66\u7fd2\u3067\u304d\u308b\u3060\u3051\u3067\u306f\u306a\u304f\u3001\u5185\u5bb9\u3092\u81ea\u8eab\u306e\u82f1\u8a9e\u5b66\u7fd2\u306b\u6d3b\u304b\u3059\u3053\u3068\u304c\u3067\u304d\u307e\u3059\u306e\u3067\u3001\u305c\u3072\u6d3b\u7528\u3057\u3066\u307b\u3057\u3044\u52c9\u5f37\u6cd5\u3067\u3059\u3002 \u4eca\u56de\u306f\u3001\u30a2\u30e1\u30ea\u30ab\u306e\u7d4c\u6e08\u306b\u95a2\u3059\u308b\u8a18\u4e8b\u3067\u3059\u3002 \u65e9\u901f\u82f1\u8a9e\u8a18\u4e8b\u3092\u8aad\u3093\u3067\u3044\u304d\u307e\u3057\u3087\u3046\uff01 \uff08\u5f15\u7528\u5143\uff09\u3000https:\/\/edition.cn…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":83,"featured_media":18215,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[130],"class_list":{"0":"post-17275","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-learning","8":"tag-130","9":"article cf"},"acf":[],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.fruitfulenglish.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17275","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.fruitfulenglish.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.fruitfulenglish.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.fruitfulenglish.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/83"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.fruitfulenglish.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=17275"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/www.fruitfulenglish.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17275\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":18203,"href":"https:\/\/www.fruitfulenglish.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17275\/revisions\/18203"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.fruitfulenglish.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/18215"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.fruitfulenglish.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=17275"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.fruitfulenglish.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=17275"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.fruitfulenglish.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=17275"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}